Scenario Planning in Organizations: How to Create, Use, and Assess Scenarios by

Description: Scenario Planning in Organizations: How to Create, Use, and Assess Scenarios by Thomas Chermack Scenario planning helps organization leaders, executives and decision-makers envision and develop strategies for multiple possible futures instead of just one. This book is the most comprehensive treatment to date of the scenario planning process. Unlike existing books it offers a thorough discussion of the evolution and theoretical foundations of scenario planning. FORMAT Paperback LANGUAGE English CONDITION Brand New Publisher Description With scenario planning, leaders, executives, and decision makers can develop strategies for multiple futures, making their organizations resilient, agile, and capable of adapting to new circumstances at the speed of change. Here Thomas Chermack addresses the methods complexities and, unlike other books, deals not just with developing different scenarios but also with applying those scenarios and assessing their impact.This is the most comprehensive guide available to the scenario planning process, offering a thorough discussion of the methods theoretical foundations and detailing a five-phase scenario planning system. Chermack uses a real-world case study to illuminate the entire process-from project preparation to scenario exploration, development, implementation, and project assessment. He provides specific techniques and tools for gathering and analyzing relevant data, structuring and managing projects, and avoiding common pitfalls. Notes Subtitled, How To Create, Use & Assess Scenarios. Bridges theory and practice, research and implementation, serving as a text suitable for graduate courses and thoughtful practitioners. Author Biography Thomas J. Chermack is assistant professor in the Organizational Performance and Change program and director of the Scenario Planning Institute at Colorado State University. He is also founder and managing partner of Chermack Scenarios. He has facilitated scenario projects at Cargill, Saudi Aramco, General Mills, Motorola, and many other companies. Table of Contents List of Figures Foreword by Louis van der Merwe Preface Part 1 -- Foundations of Scenario Planning Chapter 1: Introduction to Performance-Based Scenario Planning Chapter 2: The Theoretical Foundations of Performance-Based Scenario Planning Chapter 3: The Performance-Based Scenario System Chapter 4: Scenario Case Study Part 2 -- Phases of the Performance-Based Scenario System Chapter 5 Project Preparation Phase Chapter 6 Scenario Exploration Phase Chapter 7 Scenario Development Phase Chapter 8 Scenario Implementation Phase Chapter 9 Project Assessment Phase Part 3 -- Leading Scenario Projects Chapter 10 Managing Scenario Projects Chapter 11 Human Perceptions in the Scenario System Chapter 12 Initiating your First Scenario Project References Index About the Author Review "All CEOs, university presidents, leaders of national nonprofits, and politicians face the same problem: coping with uncertainty. Scenario planning addresses this central problem. One cannot attend a planning session in any large organization without the topic of scenario planning arising. Professor Chermack puts the various approaches to scenario planning in a highly readable and useful context. For those of us who have used a variant of scenario planning for many years, there is much to learn in this approach. Professor Chermack is well on his way to becoming a major resource for this important planning tool." —Vance Opperman, President and CEO, Key Investment, Inc.; Audit Committee Chair, Thomson Reuters; and former President, West Publishing Company "With extensive expertise, Tom Chermack spotlights scenario planning as a fundamental tool used by organizations to achieve long-term sustainability. This book helps me guide diverse management teams through strategic decision and problem-solving processes using a collaborative and forward-thinking approach." —Carla McCabe, Director of Human Resources, Technicolor "Scenario planning has benefitted our entire organization by helping us understand a volatile environment and how to move forward. Scenarios have helped us think through options, create insights, and spark innovative ideas. Chermacks approach held us accountable and emphasized creative thinking as well as assessing where and how the scenarios added value." —James Steven Beck, MBA, CPA, Vice President—Administration, Eltron Research & Development, Inc. "Professor Chermack has made the mysterious process of scenario planning available in a format accessible for both leaders of large corporations and small business owners. Creating a common working language about the future is essential for the long-term success of any enterprise. Toms clear guidelines provide practical tools for organizations to create scenarios that will help them discover new ways of thinking, planning, and being." —Kim Cermak, President and COO, KDC Management, LLC "Compelling and thoroughly researched, this book offers every business executive a playbook for including uncertainty in the organizational change process and driving competitive advantage." —Tim Reynolds, Vice President, Talent and Organizational Effectiveness, Whirlpool Corporation "It has been forty years since we first started developing scenarios at Shell to help steer us into an unknown future. This is the fullest description I have seen of how the theory and use of scenarios have developed since." —Napier Collyns, cofounder, Global Business Network "Chermack is well on his way to becoming a major resource for this important planning tool." —Vance Opperman, President and CEO, Key Investment, Inc., and Audit Committee Chair, Thomson Reuters "With this book, scenario artists can learn to muster the analysis they need for credibility, and scenario academicians can get a sense of the artistry they will need." —Art Kleiner, Editor-in-Chief, strategy+business Review Quote "All CEOs, university presidents, leaders of national nonprofits, and politicians face the same problem: coping with uncertainty. Scenario planning addresses this central problem. One cannot attend a planning session in any large organization without the topic of scenario planning arising. Professor Chermack puts the various approaches to scenario planning in a highly readable and useful context. For those of us who have used a variant of scenario planning for many years, there is much to learn in this approach. Professor Chermack is well on his way to becoming a major resource for this important planning tool." --Vance Opperman, President and CEO, Key Investment, Inc.; Audit Committee Chair, Thomson Reuters; and former President, West Publishing Company "With extensive expertise, Tom Chermack spotlights scenario planning as a fundamental tool used by organizations to achieve long-term sustainability. This book helps me guide diverse management teams through strategic decision and problem-solving processes using a collaborative and forward-thinking approach." --Carla McCabe, Director of Human Resources, Technicolor "Scenario planning has benefitted our entire organization by helping us understand a volatile environment and how to move forward. Scenarios have helped us think through options, create insights, and spark innovative ideas. Chermacks approach held us accountable and emphasized creative thinking as well as assessing where and how the scenarios added value." --James Steven Beck, MBA, CPA, Vice President--Administration, Eltron Research & Development, Inc. "Professor Chermack has made the mysterious process of scenario planning available in a format accessible for both leaders of large corporations and small business owners. Creating a common working language about the future is essential for the long-term success of any enterprise. Toms clear guidelines provide practical tools for organizations to create scenarios that will help them discover new ways of thinking, planning, and being." --Kim Cermak, President and COO, KDC Management, LLC "Compelling and thoroughly researched, this book offers every business executive a playbook for including uncertainty in the organizational change process and driving competitive advantage." --Tim Reynolds, Vice President, Talent and Organizational Effectiveness, Whirlpool Corporation "It has been forty years since we first started developing scenarios at Shell to help steer us into an unknown future. This is the fullest description I have seen of how the theory and use of scenarios have developed since." --Napier Collyns, cofounder, Global Business Network "Chermack is well on his way to becoming a major resource for this important planning tool." --Vance Opperman, President and CEO, Key Investment, Inc., and Audit Committee Chair, Thomson Reuters "With this book, scenario artists can learn to muster the analysis they need for credibility, and scenario academicians can get a sense of the artistry they will need." --Art Kleiner, Editor-in-Chief, strategy+business Details ISBN1605094137 Short Title SCENARIO PLANNING IN ORGANIZAT Language English ISBN-10 1605094137 ISBN-13 9781605094137 Media Book Format Paperback Year 2011 Imprint Berrett-Koehler Subtitle How to Create, Use, and Assess Scenarios Place of Publication San Francisco Country of Publication United States DEWEY 658.4012 Illustrations Illustrations Series Agency/distributed Pages 296 Author Thomas Chermack Publication Date 2011-02-07 UK Release Date 2011-02-07 AU Release Date 2011-02-07 NZ Release Date 2011-02-07 US Release Date 2011-02-07 Narrator Llewella Gideon Illustrator Eugene Smith Affiliation Chair of Penology, University of Edinburgh Position Chair of Penology Qualifications Ph.D. Publisher Berrett-Koehler Audience Professional & Vocational We've got this At The Nile, if you're looking for it, we've got it. 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